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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+7.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.02+8.32vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+3.10vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.04+5.92vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.77+6.15vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.63+1.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+2.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.58-0.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.99+1.41vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.49-1.74vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.34-1.85vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-2.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.56vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.51-10.82vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-4.22vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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12.15Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.14Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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9.44Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Ben Spector | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Tucker Blagden | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Colin Santangelo | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 20.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.