← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University1.15+2.27vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University1.35+0.89vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.64-0.50vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.79-0.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania0.87-1.27vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-0.09-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
-
2.89Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
-
2.5Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
-
3.72Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.73University of Pennsylvania0.870.1%1st Place
-
4.88Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 16.8% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 9.0% |
| John Shanahan | 24.1% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Chris Myers | 30.7% | 24.5% | 21.5% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Liam Boyle | 12.7% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 14.4% |
| Maxwell Ryder | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| Brogan Savage | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.