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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.43vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.35+0.75vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.79+0.50vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.15-0.98vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.09-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
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2.75Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.5Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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3.02Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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4.72Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 31.0% | 27.4% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| John Shanahan | 24.9% | 23.9% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Liam Boyle | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 10.0% |
| David Alldian | 20.0% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 20.0% | 13.1% | 4.6% |
| Brogan Savage | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 25.7% | 41.5% |
| Matthias Chia | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.