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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.42vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.79+1.47vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35-0.27vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+0.65vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.15-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
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3.47Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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2.73Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
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4.65Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.16Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 31.2% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Liam Boyle | 14.9% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 10.9% |
| John Shanahan | 23.9% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 25.0% | 39.4% |
| David Alldian | 18.4% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 8.2% |
| Matthias Chia | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 25.8% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.