← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University1.15+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.79+1.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania0.02+1.49vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University1.64-1.60vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.09-0.24vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University1.35-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
-
3.52Ocean County College0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.49University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
-
2.4Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
-
4.76Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
-
2.79Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 18.9% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Liam Boyle | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 11.7% |
| Matthias Chia | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 33.7% |
| Chris Myers | 30.0% | 28.9% | 21.4% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Brogan Savage | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 44.2% |
| John Shanahan | 23.6% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.