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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.64+1.45vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+1.01vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35-0.27vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-0.48vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.09-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.02-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
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3.01Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.73Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.52Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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4.72Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 30.7% | 27.1% | 20.1% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| David Alldian | 20.6% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| John Shanahan | 24.6% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Liam Boyle | 14.0% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 9.9% |
| Brogan Savage | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 25.5% | 41.8% |
| Matthias Chia | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.