← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.87+1.28vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.79+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.64-0.50vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University1.35-1.15vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University-0.51+0.12vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-0.09-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28University of Pennsylvania1.870.3%1st Place
-
3.58Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
-
2.5Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
-
2.85Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
-
5.12Villanova University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
4.67Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Butcher | 34.3% | 28.9% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Liam Boyle | 10.8% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 22.3% | 8.9% |
| Chris Myers | 27.9% | 26.6% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| John Shanahan | 20.4% | 20.1% | 26.4% | 22.1% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Jimmy Muller | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 24.7% | 54.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 3.9% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 33.0% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.