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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.29+7.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.24+7.13vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+5.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+4.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+0.47vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87+3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.73-1.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+2.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-3.37vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.81-0.05vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-4.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.67-2.14vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.15-4.87vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.92vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.41-3.68vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.70-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.68College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.63Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.95Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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13.32Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.62Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% |
| Olin Davis | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Burke | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Max Rollins | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 22.6% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.