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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.87+1.29vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+0.50vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.35-0.15vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.79-0.42vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-0.51+0.11vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of Pennsylvania1.870.3%1st Place
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2.5Drexel University1.640.3%1st Place
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2.85Penn State University1.350.2%1st Place
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3.58Ocean County College0.790.1%1st Place
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5.11Villanova University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.67Monmouth University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keen Butcher | 32.4% | 29.2% | 22.1% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Chris Myers | 29.2% | 25.5% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| John Shanahan | 20.8% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 22.8% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| Liam Boyle | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 27.9% | 21.3% | 7.9% |
| Jimmy Muller | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 23.6% | 55.0% |
| Brogan Savage | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 33.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.