← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.07+2.89vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+1.79vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.33vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.26+1.20vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.65+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College-0.29+0.52vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.27-0.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.48-3.40vs Predicted
-
9Washington College-0.79-1.54vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland-1.35-1.30vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-1.99-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89George Washington University1.0716.1%1st Place
-
3.79Clemson University0.7318.1%1st Place
-
4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.1%1st Place
-
5.2North Carolina State University0.269.5%1st Place
-
5.37Christopher Newport University0.6510.3%1st Place
-
6.52Connecticut College-0.295.3%1st Place
-
6.43SUNY Maritime College-0.275.8%1st Place
-
4.6University of Vermont0.4813.2%1st Place
-
7.46Washington College-0.794.5%1st Place
-
8.7University of Maryland-1.352.1%1st Place
-
9.71William and Mary-1.991.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Nilah Miller | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Evelyn Hannah | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Grace Watlington | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
Natalie Fear | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
Audrey Commerford | 13.2% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Imogene Nuss | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 10.9% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 28.4% | 24.9% |
Alexa Bodor | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.