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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.00+4.83vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.67+9.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.24+5.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.73+1.74vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05-0.52vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.70-0.18vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.56vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-1.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+0.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.29-3.51vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.98vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.15-4.83vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.87-4.59vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.81-5.24vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.41-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.83College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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12.45Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.82Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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9.25Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.17Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.76Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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12.99Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Rollins | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Olin Davis | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Vann | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 21.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.