Race 1A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicholas Price 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 3.5% 7.8% 10.8% 12.6% 18.9% 19.7% 10.6% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.2% 11.5% 14.1% 12.8% 15.1% 12.1% 10.4% 7.3% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Augie Dale 17.1% 18.3% 15.7% 14.5% 14.0% 10.2% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 7.5% 8.5% 10.8% 14.2% 16.2% 15.5% 7.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 24.1% 19.6% 16.9% 14.9% 10.9% 7.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 3.5% 7.8% 10.8% 12.6% 18.9% 19.7% 10.6% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 7.1% 8.6% 10.6% 13.6% 16.4% 13.9% 11.2% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 16.4% 14.8% 15.5% 14.5% 12.4% 11.4% 8.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.0% 4.7% 6.4% 5.7% 8.2% 10.4% 13.2% 16.1% 16.1% 10.5% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 13.9% 16.4% 14.4% 12.9% 14.5% 11.3% 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.7% 2.1% 5.0% 7.9% 10.9% 15.0% 22.5% 17.7% 7.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 3.4% 7.9% 17.5% 68.6% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 3.5% 5.5% 10.8% 25.4% 33.9% 13.6% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 4.8% 10.1% 24.9% 36.4% 15.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.