Race 2A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brendan Shanahan 14.9% 14.6% 15.2% 13.8% 14.4% 11.3% 8.7% 3.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 6.9% 8.9% 15.1% 17.7% 20.8% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 23.3% 18.1% 19.2% 13.5% 10.8% 7.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 14.9% 14.2% 15.5% 15.0% 12.6% 12.5% 7.7% 5.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 6.9% 8.9% 15.1% 17.7% 20.8% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.4% 5.7% 5.8% 8.5% 8.1% 10.3% 13.8% 15.1% 14.8% 8.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.3% 5.2% 3.9% 6.0% 9.4% 11.0% 15.0% 14.7% 14.2% 10.6% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 11.1% 14.1% 15.0% 13.2% 11.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 3.7% 4.2% 3.8% 7.7% 10.0% 17.2% 23.2% 17.7% 6.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Augie Dale 16.5% 19.3% 14.9% 14.0% 13.4% 10.1% 6.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.6% 12.6% 13.5% 13.2% 12.6% 12.3% 9.1% 8.7% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 3.0% 7.6% 18.1% 68.9% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 3.4% 6.7% 8.9% 25.6% 34.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 9.7% 26.1% 35.2% 16.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.