Race 3A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 22.6% 19.3% 16.6% 15.9% 11.3% 7.4% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 15.0% 15.8% 15.2% 13.9% 13.4% 11.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Augie Dale 17.5% 17.8% 15.4% 16.0% 13.5% 7.9% 6.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.0% 4.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 11.0% 14.8% 14.7% 13.7% 10.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 8.2% 10.5% 13.0% 17.1% 19.4% 11.4% 3.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 8.2% 10.5% 13.0% 17.1% 19.4% 11.4% 3.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.2% 4.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 10.4% 13.7% 16.2% 13.8% 10.7% 4.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.5% 4.9% 6.6% 6.8% 8.5% 9.3% 12.9% 15.9% 15.3% 9.8% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.0% 13.1% 11.7% 12.8% 15.1% 15.0% 11.2% 5.1% 3.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 6.0% 10.2% 17.1% 24.1% 18.3% 6.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 16.3% 14.2% 15.8% 12.9% 11.7% 11.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.6% 4.1% 6.1% 10.5% 24.2% 36.6% 13.0% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 5.6% 10.3% 24.9% 36.8% 12.3% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 1.1% 2.3% 6.7% 14.2% 73.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.