Race 4A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Post 15.1% 14.7% 15.7% 14.4% 12.8% 12.6% 7.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 13.7% 16.4% 14.4% 15.9% 13.0% 10.9% 8.4% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 1.8% 3.0% 1.8% 2.8% 6.4% 7.0% 9.8% 14.2% 18.5% 19.3% 11.0% 4.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Augie Dale 18.5% 15.4% 18.9% 14.6% 11.4% 10.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 23.3% 21.7% 16.2% 13.5% 11.5% 7.2% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 3.8% 4.6% 7.1% 12.2% 15.4% 22.9% 16.9% 7.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 6.2% 8.3% 9.7% 13.7% 16.2% 13.7% 10.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 14.5% 15.4% 15.9% 11.1% 3.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 1.8% 3.0% 1.8% 2.8% 6.4% 7.0% 9.8% 14.2% 18.5% 19.3% 11.0% 4.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.0% 12.2% 12.5% 14.0% 13.8% 12.1% 11.0% 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 9.0% 12.5% 13.8% 12.7% 15.4% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 2.5% 4.2% 6.4% 11.9% 27.9% 31.6% 11.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 2.2% 7.1% 16.0% 71.5% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 9.8% 22.7% 38.9% 16.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.