Race 5A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Post 15.4% 15.0% 15.2% 15.0% 12.0% 12.4% 8.4% 3.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 22.4% 19.8% 17.6% 15.0% 11.1% 7.6% 3.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 10.6% 13.0% 12.9% 11.7% 12.9% 14.5% 10.9% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.0% 4.4% 5.0% 6.6% 8.4% 9.3% 13.5% 16.6% 14.8% 11.3% 5.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 15.8% 16.1% 14.4% 12.8% 13.8% 11.5% 7.6% 4.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.5% 10.3% 13.5% 16.2% 14.0% 10.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.1% 5.1% 10.2% 24.3% 36.1% 13.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 9.7% 13.4% 18.7% 19.5% 10.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Augie Dale 17.9% 17.3% 14.8% 15.6% 13.8% 7.9% 7.3% 4.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.3% 1.7% 3.2% 2.5% 4.0% 4.6% 7.4% 10.1% 15.3% 22.4% 17.4% 9.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 9.7% 13.4% 18.7% 19.5% 10.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.1% 3.8% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 15.6% 8.5% 4.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.6% 8.2% 13.8% 72.4% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 5.6% 11.3% 25.7% 35.4% 12.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.