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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+3.02vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+2.07vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.29vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67-0.32vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.28+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland2.18+0.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.22-2.47vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21-1.23vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.65-0.93vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.65-1.93vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-0.09-1.01vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.21vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-1.46-1.56vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.29-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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4.07George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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3.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.2%1st Place
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3.68Old Dominion University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.56Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.77Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.07Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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8.07Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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10.99Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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12.44St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.92William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 22.1% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 17.6% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 22.6% | 39.7% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 30.5% | 30.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 16.3% | 72.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.