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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College4.25+4.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+7.88vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.10+2.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+3.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33-0.13vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.59-1.57vs Predicted
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11Clemson University2.34+1.43vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-3.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.54-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Texas2.50-2.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-5.28vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.14-2.91vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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6.75University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.5SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.06Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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12.43Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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9.72Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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13.09Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.06Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Blouin | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 11.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.