Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Wiand 10.4% 10.9% 11.7% 10.4% 10.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 7.5% 5.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Quinn Kaiser 11.5% 11.0% 12.0% 14.0% 10.3% 11.2% 9.0% 7.1% 7.0% 4.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Lucas Nykamp 11.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.4% 10.9% 9.7% 11.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Wyatt Tait 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.5% 6.2% 3.6% 0.5%
Nigel Yu 4.9% 5.1% 7.0% 8.0% 7.0% 8.4% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 5.5% 1.2%
Hayden Johansen 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 9.0% 13.3% 21.8% 17.8% 6.5%
Brian Zettlemoyer 3.5% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 8.2% 10.3% 12.3% 12.2% 14.4% 10.3% 2.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 6.8% 7.3% 5.8% 8.4% 9.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.1% 10.7% 10.4% 8.6% 4.4% 0.4%
Scott Mather 12.2% 11.3% 11.8% 13.0% 11.5% 10.8% 9.1% 7.7% 6.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 6.7% 7.4% 9.1% 8.0% 9.2% 9.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.4% 10.8% 5.7% 2.9% 0.4%
Nathaniel Bacheller 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 4.6% 9.5% 23.5% 51.3%
Patrick Gardiner 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 5.5% 11.3% 29.2% 37.1%
Lorenzo Puertas 22.9% 20.8% 16.0% 11.8% 9.3% 7.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.