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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.83+6.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.93vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.61-0.09vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.54+0.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50+0.20vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.51-4.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-3.47vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.80-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.35-0.83vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.60-0.12vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.68-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.93-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.91College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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14.88Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Megan Magill | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Christina Baker | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 51.8% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.