← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.56+1.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania-0.50+5.86vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+4.70vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.24+3.28vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.73vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College-0.39+1.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.29vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-3.17vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania-0.44-1.24vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.59+0.08vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.47vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-0.52-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92Cornell University1.5629.1%1st Place
-
7.86University of Pennsylvania-0.503.0%1st Place
-
7.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.6%1st Place
-
7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.243.8%1st Place
-
4.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9215.2%1st Place
-
7.51SUNY Maritime College-0.394.2%1st Place
-
4.71University of Pennsylvania1.1611.6%1st Place
-
4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6312.2%1st Place
-
7.76University of Pennsylvania-0.443.5%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.591.3%1st Place
-
5.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.4%1st Place
-
7.56SUNY Maritime College-0.524.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Mulvania | 29.1% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Esme Gonzalez | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
Katherine Mason | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
Keelyn Brink | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
Deana Fedulova | 15.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Nikita Troast | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
Adra Ivancich | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Sabrina Starck | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Sadie Yoder | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% |
Gentry Schneider | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 47.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.