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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+7.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+2.72vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81+5.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.87+4.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29+1.51vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.24+0.76vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-3.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.38-1.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.67+0.51vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-0.46vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.15-4.12vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-5.93vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.70-8.07vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.90vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.41-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.68Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston College3.240.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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12.51Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.93Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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13.04Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Olin Davis | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Burke | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Max Rollins | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.