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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.40vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+3.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+0.73vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.26+1.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.29+1.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.22vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73-3.18vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.79-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48-4.40vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.35-1.26vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.4%1st Place
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5.43Christopher Newport University0.658.9%1st Place
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3.73George Washington University1.0718.7%1st Place
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5.32North Carolina State University0.269.1%1st Place
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6.49Connecticut College-0.296.8%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.277.2%1st Place
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3.82Clemson University0.7317.8%1st Place
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7.6Washington College-0.792.7%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont0.4812.4%1st Place
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8.74University of Maryland-1.352.0%1st Place
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9.63William and Mary-1.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cho-Cho Williams | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Grace Watlington | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 18.7% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Evelyn Hannah | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Natalie Fear | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
Isabelle Gautier | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
Nilah Miller | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Imogene Nuss | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 10.5% |
Audrey Commerford | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 28.2% | 26.5% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.