Race 7A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 23.2% 18.6% 16.4% 15.6% 11.0% 7.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.3% 9.6% 13.8% 17.5% 19.4% 11.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.3% 9.6% 13.8% 17.5% 19.4% 11.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 14.2% 15.4% 15.5% 14.6% 13.2% 11.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Augie Dale 17.9% 16.8% 16.9% 14.0% 12.9% 9.9% 6.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 16.1% 15.8% 14.3% 14.8% 14.0% 10.7% 7.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% 4.9% 7.9% 11.1% 14.9% 23.5% 17.3% 7.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.6% 7.9% 9.7% 13.8% 15.7% 13.6% 10.7% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 8.0% 9.6% 13.7% 16.1% 16.9% 9.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 10.1% 13.5% 12.4% 12.9% 14.3% 12.1% 11.1% 8.2% 4.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.1% 8.7% 13.6% 12.7% 13.3% 14.6% 10.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 13.3% 28.7% 31.1% 10.9% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 22.9% 39.9% 15.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 6.2% 15.3% 72.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.