Race 9A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 22.2% 20.0% 16.9% 14.6% 12.0% 7.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 14.7% 14.9% 14.7% 13.8% 14.3% 12.2% 7.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Augie Dale 18.3% 16.7% 15.9% 15.6% 11.7% 10.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 6.1% 7.6% 12.1% 11.8% 16.8% 18.5% 12.4% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.6% 10.7% 13.4% 14.8% 14.5% 9.1% 5.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 6.1% 7.6% 12.1% 11.8% 16.8% 18.5% 12.4% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Post 14.7% 15.6% 16.2% 15.3% 13.2% 8.9% 8.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.9% 4.2% 5.8% 8.4% 6.4% 10.0% 12.4% 15.4% 16.8% 10.1% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.6% 12.7% 12.8% 11.3% 14.7% 14.7% 10.4% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 6.7% 11.0% 15.0% 25.4% 17.9% 6.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.1% 5.4% 5.2% 6.2% 7.4% 11.2% 14.0% 16.3% 15.2% 9.8% 3.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 4.9% 5.5% 12.5% 27.6% 31.8% 10.8% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 5.0% 9.0% 22.0% 40.5% 14.6% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 6.6% 15.1% 72.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.