Race 10A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Augie Dale 17.6% 17.2% 14.6% 15.8% 13.8% 9.9% 5.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.6% 10.9% 15.7% 15.1% 13.6% 10.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 14.0% 15.4% 15.2% 14.4% 13.3% 11.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 22.5% 18.4% 17.8% 16.0% 10.5% 8.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 10.0% 10.1% 12.5% 15.2% 14.1% 10.0% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.1% 12.9% 12.9% 13.5% 14.3% 13.7% 9.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.3% 6.9% 10.0% 13.1% 17.8% 18.2% 11.6% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 3.7% 5.9% 4.2% 6.0% 7.7% 10.4% 15.0% 15.0% 16.2% 10.4% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.3% 6.9% 10.0% 13.1% 17.8% 18.2% 11.6% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 6.4% 11.2% 15.5% 24.4% 17.5% 6.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 15.9% 14.8% 16.7% 13.3% 11.0% 11.7% 8.9% 5.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% 2.5% 3.6% 5.5% 10.6% 25.5% 36.1% 13.0% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 6.4% 10.2% 24.4% 37.0% 12.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 7.0% 14.2% 73.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.