Race 11A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 21.9% 20.4% 18.2% 14.7% 10.6% 7.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.5% 4.5% 5.6% 7.7% 8.0% 10.3% 14.5% 16.6% 14.9% 8.5% 4.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 10.0% 13.0% 14.0% 11.6% 12.7% 14.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 15.4% 15.6% 12.9% 15.0% 13.9% 10.4% 9.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.3% 4.8% 7.3% 9.4% 14.9% 18.2% 19.5% 9.7% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 3.2% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 8.6% 10.0% 14.7% 15.6% 13.7% 10.8% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.3% 4.8% 7.3% 9.4% 14.9% 18.2% 19.5% 9.7% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Augie Dale 18.5% 16.5% 17.9% 13.7% 12.0% 8.9% 6.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 14.9% 15.5% 14.6% 14.8% 15.1% 13.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.5% 7.1% 9.3% 17.1% 23.7% 18.0% 6.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 5.3% 4.1% 4.3% 6.9% 8.7% 10.9% 13.3% 16.0% 15.2% 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 3.2% 8.1% 16.9% 69.3% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 5.6% 10.5% 25.8% 34.7% 13.6% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 5.1% 10.7% 23.7% 36.5% 15.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.