Race 12A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 22.4% 19.1% 17.1% 15.3% 11.3% 8.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 14.7% 15.1% 17.3% 14.3% 11.6% 10.3% 9.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 13.6% 15.6% 15.1% 15.3% 14.0% 10.8% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.2% 3.8% 6.0% 6.3% 9.0% 11.1% 15.5% 15.2% 12.6% 10.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Augie Dale 18.5% 18.1% 15.4% 13.8% 13.3% 10.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 7.2% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 16.0% 15.9% 8.8% 5.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 12.7% 12.6% 11.8% 12.8% 14.6% 13.0% 9.3% 8.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.1% 3.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 7.9% 10.3% 13.3% 18.8% 19.3% 9.6% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.6% 6.5% 9.1% 18.0% 22.4% 19.3% 6.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 6.4% 8.3% 11.0% 13.8% 15.4% 12.9% 12.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.1% 3.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 7.9% 10.3% 13.3% 18.8% 19.3% 9.6% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.6% 7.0% 11.2% 29.0% 31.4% 10.9% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 3.5% 4.3% 9.4% 21.8% 40.4% 14.8% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 6.6% 15.0% 72.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.