Race 13A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 22.5% 20.0% 17.4% 14.7% 11.3% 7.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.7% 5.3% 4.8% 8.1% 6.7% 11.1% 15.1% 15.8% 14.7% 9.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 3.7% 2.9% 4.5% 7.4% 8.2% 11.9% 12.5% 16.8% 15.2% 11.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 15.4% 15.0% 15.2% 14.7% 13.1% 9.9% 8.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 15.6% 16.6% 14.0% 13.0% 14.4% 11.1% 8.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Augie Dale 18.4% 18.6% 16.4% 13.4% 13.3% 8.3% 6.0% 4.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.9% 5.1% 7.6% 9.0% 16.3% 22.4% 19.4% 5.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.4% 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 7.0% 9.8% 12.7% 19.2% 20.1% 10.1% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.4% 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 7.0% 9.8% 12.7% 19.2% 20.1% 10.1% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 13.8% 15.0% 13.2% 10.3% 6.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.6% 2.3% 4.2% 3.4% 9.7% 24.2% 38.2% 13.7% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.3% 3.8% 7.1% 6.5% 8.2% 12.4% 13.7% 14.7% 14.0% 10.2% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 3.8% 6.0% 10.3% 26.5% 35.0% 12.2% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 6.8% 15.3% 72.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.