Race 14A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alexander Curtiss 22.7% 17.8% 18.2% 16.1% 10.5% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Post 15.2% 14.7% 16.7% 14.9% 12.4% 9.9% 8.7% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 13.8% 16.0% 15.1% 13.5% 14.4% 11.9% 7.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 3.9% 3.8% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 10.3% 13.8% 16.1% 15.7% 9.9% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Augie Dale 19.0% 18.3% 15.2% 13.8% 13.3% 9.5% 5.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 9.3% 10.7% 14.2% 13.9% 14.2% 10.1% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 5.6% 8.4% 8.1% 11.7% 17.5% 20.7% 11.6% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 12.0% 12.6% 11.7% 13.6% 14.0% 14.3% 11.5% 5.3% 3.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 3.9% 5.4% 4.8% 7.2% 6.8% 10.5% 14.6% 17.1% 13.1% 10.3% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.0% 5.6% 8.4% 8.1% 11.7% 17.5% 20.7% 11.6% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.4% 11.2% 15.8% 22.1% 17.7% 6.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 4.1% 7.9% 11.3% 28.2% 31.1% 11.0% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.2% 4.8% 9.3% 21.7% 40.6% 14.6% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 6.1% 15.0% 72.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.