Race 15A

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Post 15.0% 14.8% 15.5% 13.9% 13.3% 12.8% 8.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.8% 1.9% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 8.0% 15.0% 19.0% 19.5% 10.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Augie Dale 16.5% 17.6% 15.4% 15.4% 14.3% 8.9% 7.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.5% 4.1% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 11.7% 15.4% 14.8% 11.6% 11.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 7.1% 8.4% 10.4% 13.4% 14.8% 14.7% 9.9% 5.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 11.4% 12.6% 13.0% 14.2% 13.7% 12.1% 10.5% 7.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 15.1% 15.5% 14.9% 15.4% 11.2% 11.1% 8.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 6.4% 8.5% 11.2% 12.6% 15.9% 15.8% 10.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 4.9% 3.6% 6.3% 10.4% 17.0% 23.1% 17.8% 6.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Alexander Curtiss 23.7% 20.2% 17.1% 12.0% 10.6% 8.6% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 2.8% 1.9% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 8.0% 15.0% 19.0% 19.5% 10.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Cody Murphy 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.8% 4.3% 6.4% 11.6% 28.5% 31.6% 10.8% 0.0%
Sarah Seski 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 1.3% 3.1% 5.0% 8.1% 23.0% 40.1% 14.9% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 2.2% 6.7% 15.1% 72.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.