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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+2.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.45vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College-0.29+3.41vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+1.42vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.27+1.47vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.26-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48-2.27vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-4.38vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.35-0.34vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.79-2.51vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83George Washington University1.0718.4%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.2%1st Place
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6.41Connecticut College-0.295.7%1st Place
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5.42Christopher Newport University0.659.5%1st Place
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6.47SUNY Maritime College-0.275.0%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University0.269.6%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont0.4811.8%1st Place
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3.62Clemson University0.7320.6%1st Place
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8.66University of Maryland-1.351.8%1st Place
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7.49Washington College-0.793.8%1st Place
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9.71William and Mary-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 18.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 20.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 28.2% | 25.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 9.8% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 19.3% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.