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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.39vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.24+2.99vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41-0.52vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.51+0.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.50vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-2.79vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.72-1.02vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.35-1.20vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.35-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.87-3.40vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-2.24vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-2.91-1.69vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-3.01-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.99Christopher Newport University2.240.0%1st Place
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3.48George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.21Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.98William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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7.8Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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7.8Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.31Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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12.37St. John's College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 21.7% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 20.6% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 23.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 23.2% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 35.4% | 11.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 62.9% | 15.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 9.0% | 42.7% | 46.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 7.0% | 39.7% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.