Race 3B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean Golden 21.1% 18.7% 17.4% 13.8% 12.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 14.1% 13.2% 15.0% 15.1% 11.1% 12.6% 8.8% 6.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 12.2% 13.7% 13.7% 13.5% 14.7% 11.7% 9.0% 7.1% 3.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 10.3% 12.6% 16.6% 17.6% 15.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 5.4% 5.3% 7.1% 10.1% 13.8% 19.9% 23.8% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kai Friesecke 22.6% 19.1% 15.5% 13.4% 11.3% 8.3% 5.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 8.4% 10.2% 12.2% 8.3% 12.0% 13.6% 12.8% 12.0% 7.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 5.4% 5.3% 7.1% 10.1% 13.8% 19.9% 23.8% 5.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.4% 4.9% 6.8% 9.9% 19.9% 35.4% 11.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 9.4% 10.3% 12.1% 15.3% 12.8% 13.4% 5.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
James Morgan 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 11.2% 12.7% 11.8% 12.1% 13.9% 9.0% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 9.2% 46.3% 42.7% 0.0%
John Haley 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 9.7% 62.7% 17.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Megan Mitchell 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 7.6% 35.5% 55.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.