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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.37vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+1.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.51+0.27vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+1.73vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35+0.73vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02-4.83vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.24-4.12vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.72-3.88vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.87-3.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-2.26vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-2.91-1.69vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-3.01-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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3.46George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.27Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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4.17Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.88Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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7.12William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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10.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.31Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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12.37St. John's College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 22.3% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 20.9% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 6.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 6.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 37.3% | 11.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 61.8% | 15.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 8.4% | 42.8% | 46.6% | 0.0% |
| Megan Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 7.3% | 39.6% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.