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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+2.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+0.35vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+1.38vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-0.82vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35+1.73vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-1.13vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.35-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.87-0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.42-5.38vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.72-4.99vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-2.91-0.73vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-3.23vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-3.01-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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4.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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3.35Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.18Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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7.73Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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7.01William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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12.27Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.4St. John's College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 20.4% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 21.5% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 36.1% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 9.0% | 46.4% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 62.5% | 17.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 7.8% | 35.4% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.