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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.38vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+2.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+0.53vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.51+1.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.49vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.64vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35+0.66vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91+4.26vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.87-0.38vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.35-2.34vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.72-3.98vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.24-6.18vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-3.21vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-3.01-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.28Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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5.4Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.66Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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12.26Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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7.66Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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7.02William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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5.82Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.39St. John's College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 21.7% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 20.4% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 9.4% | 44.1% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 38.2% | 12.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 9.5% | 61.4% | 17.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 7.1% | 36.8% | 53.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.