Race 8B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kai Friesecke 20.6% 17.9% 18.0% 13.2% 12.0% 8.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 13.4% 14.6% 14.9% 14.2% 13.7% 11.3% 9.0% 5.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 11.6% 13.9% 22.8% 22.5% 5.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 13.0% 11.9% 13.8% 14.9% 12.0% 12.2% 10.1% 7.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 11.6% 13.9% 22.8% 22.5% 5.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.3% 8.6% 11.3% 15.3% 19.7% 14.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 8.6% 9.7% 9.0% 10.9% 13.0% 13.9% 12.0% 11.8% 7.4% 3.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 5.4% 6.7% 11.2% 15.8% 34.7% 13.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 5.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 10.4% 12.6% 14.5% 14.0% 11.9% 5.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 21.6% 20.1% 16.0% 14.0% 10.7% 8.4% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Morgan 8.0% 8.6% 9.8% 10.2% 11.3% 12.5% 12.8% 11.2% 10.4% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Haley 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 2.5% 4.1% 10.9% 62.1% 15.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 1.1% 8.2% 42.8% 46.6% 0.0%
Megan Mitchell 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 6.9% 39.9% 51.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.