Race 9B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maximilian Kuester 15.5% 13.5% 14.7% 12.6% 13.9% 10.3% 9.8% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 14.8% 16.8% 14.7% 14.0% 13.2% 10.4% 7.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 22.9% 20.1% 16.1% 13.5% 12.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 13.6% 13.3% 13.7% 15.8% 12.6% 10.4% 9.1% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 6.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.0% 10.4% 10.1% 14.9% 13.7% 11.3% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.9% 10.6% 12.4% 15.9% 17.4% 13.8% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 9.2% 14.2% 20.0% 22.6% 6.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 15.2% 13.8% 10.2% 7.9% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 9.2% 14.2% 20.0% 22.6% 6.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Morgan 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 11.7% 13.4% 10.7% 13.6% 10.0% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 3.1% 5.1% 5.9% 10.1% 18.5% 35.6% 11.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Haley 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 4.5% 12.0% 61.4% 15.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Megan Mitchell 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 7.6% 38.6% 52.2% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 8.2% 44.7% 45.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.