Race 10B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean Golden 23.4% 19.1% 16.9% 14.2% 11.3% 7.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 15.9% 13.8% 13.8% 13.9% 13.0% 12.4% 8.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 5.7% 6.5% 9.6% 9.3% 9.9% 11.7% 14.6% 13.8% 12.5% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 7.9% 9.8% 8.9% 12.7% 10.8% 12.9% 12.5% 14.1% 7.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 6.8% 10.7% 11.4% 21.0% 22.1% 6.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 16.2% 16.6% 15.4% 13.7% 11.8% 10.0% 8.1% 5.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 6.8% 10.7% 11.4% 21.0% 22.1% 6.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 6.4% 8.0% 11.1% 16.4% 19.0% 14.1% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 14.5% 13.9% 14.9% 10.9% 14.5% 13.6% 8.3% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Morgan 7.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.4% 11.5% 11.8% 14.8% 12.3% 9.0% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 6.1% 10.9% 16.9% 36.9% 11.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Haley 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.7% 4.5% 10.2% 62.2% 15.0% 2.3% 0.0%
Megan Mitchell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 7.7% 38.4% 52.2% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 7.9% 44.7% 45.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.