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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.10+2.03vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.33vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.21vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.72+1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.42-0.63vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.24-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.87+0.52vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.51-3.64vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.35-2.28vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.35-3.28vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-2.25vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-3.01-1.62vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-2.91-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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4.03George Washington University3.100.2%1st Place
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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4.21Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.82Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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5.36Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.72Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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7.72Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.38St. John's College-3.010.0%1st Place
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12.3Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 23.4% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 35.7% | 12.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 11.4% | 61.9% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Mitchell | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 7.3% | 38.7% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 7.7% | 44.9% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.