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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+4.46vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.39vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48-0.45vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.45vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.29-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.35+0.72vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.79-1.46vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.26-4.78vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Christopher Newport University0.658.6%1st Place
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3.75Clemson University0.7319.0%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.3%1st Place
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3.87George Washington University1.0717.3%1st Place
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4.55University of Vermont0.4813.3%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Maritime College-0.275.7%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College-0.295.7%1st Place
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8.72University of Maryland-1.352.1%1st Place
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7.54Washington College-0.793.6%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University0.269.3%1st Place
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9.58William and Mary-1.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Grace Watlington | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
Nilah Miller | 19.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 14.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Audrey Commerford | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
Natalie Fear | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 26.2% | 27.7% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 9.7% |
Evelyn Hannah | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.