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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.38+7.49vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.00+3.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+3.41vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.44vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+3.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.41+6.15vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.67+4.06vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40+0.06vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+2.94vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-1.28vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.70-3.81vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.87-1.81vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.15-4.12vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.81-3.37vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.73-8.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.87vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.24-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.33Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.15Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.06Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.06Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.19Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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11.63Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 21.7% |
| Max Rollins | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| Olin Davis | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.