Race 12B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean Golden 23.6% 19.1% 18.0% 13.7% 9.9% 7.3% 5.2% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 8.7% 8.5% 10.8% 10.9% 12.5% 13.2% 12.4% 10.9% 8.0% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 5.7% 6.4% 8.3% 9.7% 12.7% 10.9% 13.8% 15.7% 10.5% 5.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edmund Cooper 14.3% 12.6% 13.2% 14.9% 12.5% 12.5% 8.8% 6.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Morgan 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 10.6% 11.2% 12.1% 14.3% 13.3% 7.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 15.0% 17.7% 15.4% 13.6% 12.2% 9.9% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.4% 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.8% 13.1% 20.8% 23.2% 6.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 14.9% 15.9% 12.5% 13.8% 12.4% 14.3% 8.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.6% 5.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 13.6% 16.0% 18.2% 15.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 6.2% 10.4% 18.5% 36.3% 11.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.4% 2.7% 4.6% 3.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.8% 13.1% 20.8% 23.2% 6.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Haley 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 4.7% 10.4% 62.3% 15.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Megan Mitchell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 7.7% 38.4% 52.2% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 8.1% 44.6% 45.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.