Race 13B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Roger Dorr 17.1% 14.3% 15.9% 13.9% 12.9% 9.8% 9.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 15.1% 15.6% 14.6% 14.2% 13.5% 9.0% 8.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 23.9% 19.9% 16.0% 13.5% 10.9% 8.2% 4.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 9.7% 10.4% 11.8% 12.4% 13.1% 12.0% 11.7% 10.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Morgan 8.9% 9.5% 10.9% 10.9% 10.3% 11.7% 14.0% 11.1% 9.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 9.1% 10.7% 10.9% 10.7% 12.5% 13.3% 11.8% 9.9% 7.1% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.9% 3.0% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.4% 6.9% 14.2% 20.6% 20.8% 7.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.6% 6.3% 4.4% 5.4% 7.1% 10.0% 14.0% 15.7% 15.2% 15.2% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 6.7% 7.3% 8.4% 10.4% 9.8% 13.0% 12.5% 14.0% 10.9% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 3.9% 3.0% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.4% 6.9% 14.2% 20.6% 20.8% 7.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.4% 2.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.5% 10.2% 17.7% 33.8% 11.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Haley 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 4.8% 9.0% 48.5% 27.1% 5.4% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 4.4% 20.2% 52.8% 18.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 6.3% 15.6% 76.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.