Race 14B

south-dinghy-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean Golden 23.3% 18.0% 17.8% 14.2% 10.7% 7.7% 4.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 12.9% 16.2% 14.8% 14.3% 12.7% 11.0% 8.7% 5.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 15.1% 16.9% 14.0% 12.0% 14.5% 12.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph David 13.6% 11.7% 13.7% 15.6% 12.4% 9.7% 10.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Van Beurden 7.1% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 11.1% 14.9% 13.9% 10.9% 5.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 10.3% 13.7% 21.5% 21.4% 6.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 6.8% 10.1% 15.6% 33.8% 13.7% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
James Morgan 8.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.4% 10.5% 15.1% 13.0% 12.2% 9.7% 3.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
McKay Hanna 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 10.3% 13.7% 21.5% 21.4% 6.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 9.8% 9.9% 11.8% 11.0% 11.7% 13.1% 11.7% 10.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 6.4% 8.2% 8.4% 11.0% 17.1% 18.0% 13.0% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Haley 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 2.4% 4.1% 11.0% 46.7% 27.5% 5.3% 0.0%
Catherine White 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 1.1% 1.5% 4.5% 20.3% 53.2% 18.0% 0.0%
Samuel Mortin 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 1.1% 6.2% 15.3% 76.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.