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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+2.30vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.35+5.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+1.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.58vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-0.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-0.96vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.72-0.01vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.10-4.02vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.24-3.08vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.35-3.21vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.87-4.39vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-2.91-1.39vs Predicted
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15St. John's College-1.56-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.12Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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6.99William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.92Christopher Newport University2.240.1%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech1.350.0%1st Place
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10.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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12.61Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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11.66St. John's College-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 23.4% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Haley | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 45.6% | 30.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 33.4% | 12.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 74.9% | 0.0% |
| Catherine White | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 22.7% | 49.0% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.