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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+2.76vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+3.38vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48-0.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.59vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.13-0.46vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.26-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.35-0.31vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.79-2.49vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76George Washington University1.0718.3%1st Place
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5.38Christopher Newport University0.658.8%1st Place
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3.72Clemson University0.7318.4%1st Place
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4.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.9%1st Place
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4.49University of Vermont0.4813.7%1st Place
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6.59SUNY Maritime College-0.275.1%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College-0.135.4%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University0.2610.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Maryland-1.352.1%1st Place
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7.51Washington College-0.793.5%1st Place
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9.67William and Mary-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 18.3% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Grace Watlington | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Nilah Miller | 18.4% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Audrey Commerford | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
Lilly Saffer | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
Evelyn Hannah | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 27.9% | 25.1% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 9.4% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.