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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.78+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.40-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.34-3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.40-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Jacksonville University0.780.1%1st Place
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1.8University of South Florida2.400.4%1st Place
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4.58University of Florida-0.900.0%1st Place
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1.82Eckerd College2.340.4%1st Place
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3.58University of Miami0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Butler | 8.7% | 13.2% | 36.0% | 31.9% | 10.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 42.7% | 38.2% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeroen Poelstra | 1.3% | 1.7% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 72.9% |
| Samuel Normington | 42.3% | 37.6% | 15.7% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 5.0% | 9.3% | 25.2% | 44.0% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.