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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.06+4.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+3.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38-0.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.22+0.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76+0.79vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.52-1.85vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.41-1.60vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.42-0.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.01-4.71vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-3.98vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.15-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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4.87Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.15Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University1.410.1%1st Place
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8.46McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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10.41Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Orchardo | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| James Beatty | 32.6% | 25.1% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Brodheim | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 2.2% |
| Francis Guiton | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 35.9% | 13.2% |
| Joseph Benoit | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.