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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.22+3.78vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.41+4.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+3.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.52+0.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-2.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.01-0.77vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.06-2.06vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.76-3.36vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.13-2.74vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.42-2.55vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.15-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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4.17Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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2.55Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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5.23Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.94Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.45McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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10.41Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Lynn | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Brodheim | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Chester Jacobs | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 35.2% | 24.2% | 17.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Luke Orchardo | 10.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 5.1% |
| Francis Guiton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 35.6% | 13.8% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.6% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.