← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hannah Lynn 8.9% 12.2% 13.8% 12.3% 12.0% 14.7% 11.4% 8.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Adam Brodheim 4.8% 5.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 12.9% 13.5% 17.0% 11.9% 1.8%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 6.8% 7.6% 6.8% 8.6% 11.6% 11.8% 10.6% 15.2% 12.5% 7.9% 0.6%
Chester Jacobs 13.3% 14.8% 15.4% 15.4% 12.9% 10.1% 8.6% 5.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
James Beatty 35.2% 24.2% 17.3% 9.3% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Benoit 7.9% 11.2% 10.0% 12.8% 12.0% 12.4% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 4.5% 0.3%
Luke Orchardo 10.3% 10.1% 13.3% 12.1% 12.7% 10.7% 12.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Alexandra Swanson 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 12.2% 11.8% 11.7% 11.6% 11.5% 11.1% 5.5% 0.8%
Jennifer Lee 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 10.2% 14.4% 18.9% 17.8% 5.1%
Francis Guiton 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 5.4% 7.9% 9.0% 14.5% 35.6% 13.8%
Lauren Javaly 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 10.6% 77.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.