Race 3A

harvard-invitational-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hannah Lynn 8.5% 12.1% 13.2% 13.7% 12.3% 13.8% 11.0% 8.4% 4.5% 2.4% 0.1%
James Beatty 35.9% 22.9% 16.7% 11.8% 6.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Benoit 7.7% 10.3% 9.0% 10.6% 12.5% 13.2% 12.4% 10.9% 9.7% 3.5% 0.2%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 5.5% 7.0% 8.2% 9.1% 11.0% 11.8% 13.8% 13.1% 11.3% 7.8% 1.4%
Alexandra Swanson 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 8.8% 11.8% 10.6% 12.4% 13.3% 10.5% 7.0% 0.6%
Chester Jacobs 14.2% 15.8% 14.4% 14.8% 12.3% 10.8% 6.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Adam Brodheim 6.0% 5.7% 6.3% 8.2% 10.1% 10.6% 11.6% 13.2% 14.9% 11.6% 1.8%
Luke Orchardo 9.8% 10.4% 12.7% 13.2% 12.4% 12.2% 9.2% 10.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Francis Guiton 1.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 8.3% 8.4% 14.3% 37.8% 14.6%
Jennifer Lee 3.6% 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.2% 13.4% 19.7% 15.6% 3.3%
Lauren Javaly 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 4.4% 10.2% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.