Race 4A

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Chester Jacobs 12.6% 16.6% 14.2% 15.3% 13.0% 11.5% 7.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
James Beatty 36.0% 23.1% 16.8% 12.3% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Lynn 9.5% 12.3% 11.3% 12.9% 12.4% 12.1% 10.9% 10.8% 6.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Joseph Benoit 7.7% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 12.9% 13.7% 12.4% 10.7% 7.8% 4.5% 0.8%
Francis Guiton 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.5% 5.0% 10.5% 13.8% 38.1% 13.4%
Adam Brodheim 4.6% 5.7% 7.5% 6.6% 8.9% 9.4% 12.9% 12.7% 16.8% 12.4% 2.5%
Luke Orchardo 10.4% 9.8% 13.7% 12.1% 12.5% 11.4% 11.8% 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 7.1% 7.9% 8.9% 11.3% 11.6% 11.3% 11.5% 12.1% 10.8% 6.5% 1.0%
Alexandra Swanson 6.2% 7.6% 9.4% 8.5% 11.9% 11.3% 13.2% 14.0% 9.2% 6.8% 1.9%
Jennifer Lee 3.3% 5.3% 4.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 10.7% 12.1% 20.5% 16.6% 3.5%
Lauren Javaly 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 5.4% 10.6% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.