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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.00+4.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+6.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.41+8.98vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.73+2.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81+5.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.29+2.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.67+4.09vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+3.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.87-1.84vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.80-6.78vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.24-5.25vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.70-8.11vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.15-6.62vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.38-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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12.98Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.66Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston College3.240.1%1st Place
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7.89Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Stokes | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Byrne | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 22.9% |
| Olin Davis | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.