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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+2.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-0.13-0.44vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.26-2.78vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.79-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.35-1.38vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Christopher Newport University0.659.9%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont0.4814.0%1st Place
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4.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.0%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University1.0717.2%1st Place
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3.75Clemson University0.7319.1%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College-0.275.5%1st Place
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6.56Connecticut College-0.135.3%1st Place
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5.22North Carolina State University0.269.9%1st Place
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7.48Washington College-0.793.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Maryland-1.352.1%1st Place
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9.56William and Mary-1.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Grace Watlington | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
Audrey Commerford | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Nilah Miller | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
Lilly Saffer | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 4.2% |
Evelyn Hannah | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 10.0% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 27.2% | 25.1% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.