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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.01+4.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+0.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+2.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.41+2.72vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.06+0.08vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.42+1.58vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.15+2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.13-1.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.52-5.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-5.20vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
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2.53Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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5.94Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.58McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
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10.28Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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4.16Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Benoit | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| James Beatty | 35.6% | 24.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Adam Brodheim | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Francis Guiton | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 36.5% | 15.1% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 11.7% | 74.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 4.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 13.9% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Lynn | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.